Saturday, March 27, 2021

Should we invest in the Semrush IPO?

The piece of news that particularly caught my attention was the IPO of SEMrush, given our exposure to it during the course. I had a great experience working with the tool for our project, which made me wonder if it would be a good idea to invest.

The customer growth has been phenomenal. In 2010, the company was serving around 1000 customers. By 2016 the company started launching their content marketing and digital PR tools and broke the 1 million user mark.

Further, the SEMrush product has a proven track record as a leader in SEO and digital marketing analytics.  SEMrush has an array of over 50 products, tools, and add-ons in their arsenal to address SEO and digital marketing and carries a robust, proprietary technology platform.

Looking at the business fundamentals, About 94.9% of SEMrush’s customers are from the small and medium sized business category where they see an ARR per paying customer of $2,000; and their large enterprise customers have an ARR per paying customer of $4,200. This is combined with a positive net dollar retention, decreasing net losses and a growing market.

While the above-mentioned factors definitely captured my interest, on the flip-side, my biggest concern was the intensely competitive nature of the SEO market. This would require them to constantly invest in R&D and sales to maintain up-to-date tools. This is something SEMrush has lagged in, according to their financial statements. In addition, this tends to a price sensitive market which increases the competition intensity.

My assessment of the SEO market was that it is an intensely competitive and rapidly changing industry. It makes sense to be bullish on the SEO market overall, as digital marketing, SEO, and brand building are critical and growing parts of today’s business environment. However, what I remain unsure of is SEMrush’s ability to dominate the market in the coming times.

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